Grayling report: How will the US election influence the CEE region?

No matter who becomes the next president of the United States, the election outcome will have profound and complex effects on the political, economic, and cultural dynamics of Central and Eastern Europe.

To explore these potential impacts, Grayling’s local public affairs teams across 10 countries in the CEE region have prepared a comprehensive overview. The report’s context was set by an editorial from Grayling’s Washington team at Dutko Government Relations.

The stakes of the U.S. elections are naturally highest for Ukraine, given the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. If Kamala Harris wins but both houses of Congress are controlled by Republicans, delays in assistance to Ukraine might occur. The degree of delay would be directly proportional to the number of Trump supporters in Congress. Predicting Trump’s actions is challenging. The most likely scenario involves initial attempts to initiate negotiations between Ukraine and Russia.

However, not only Ukraine, but the entire CEE region depends on the U.S., though to varying degrees as many countries rely on the U.S. as both an economic partner and a security provider.

The whole report is available for download through the following link.